Vivie Jocelyne

Most Likely Presidential Candidates 2024 Polls. Narrow victories in a handful of swing states are likely to determine whether donald trump or kamala harris wins the us presidential election on november 5. 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.

The election was initially a rematch of 2020 but it was upended in july when president joe biden ended his. Number of candidates in the race over time.